CETRI
¿Lula 4 o Bolsonaro 2.0 ? Segunda vuelta y el futuro de Brasil
La elección no está cerrada. Menos de dos puntos y unos 2,2 millones de votos separan a ambos candidatos, la menor distancia entre los dos primeros de una primera vuelta desde la redemocratización. Brasil vuelve a una segunda vuelta entre Lula y un Bolsonaro. El déjà vu es inevitable. Pero (…)
Brasil : Lula contra un tsunami conservador
El triunfo de Flávio Bolsonaro en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales, así como el éxito de su partido en los comicios legislativos y estatales, coloca contra las cuerdas a la izquierda brasileña. La sociedad civil progresista ya se ha sumado a la campaña de Lula para revertir el (…)
The New Scramble for Africa
Something important is happening across the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa. Wars that appear local are drawing in actors from increasingly far away. Ports built for commerce acquire military uses. Gold mined in conflict zones travels through international financial centers. Drones purchased (…)
From Tigray to the Red Sea : Ethiopia’s War in a Wider Regional Struggle
I am not a military expert, but I do not read the withdrawal of Tigrayan forces from towns as straightforward evidence that their military position has weakened. An army can leave towns, roads and airports without losing its ability to move, reorganize, coordinate and strike. The more important (…)
Imperial Nostalgia : History, Sovereignty, and the Unfinished Work of Decolonization in the Horn of Africa
History in the Horn of Africa is rarely allowed to remain history. An ancient civilization becomes evidence of modern sovereignty. A medieval dynasty becomes proof of national continuity. Territory incorporated during one political era is later remembered as though it had always belonged to the (…)
The Geography of Asymmetric War : Hezbollah, the Houthis and the Limits of the Proxy Idea
In an earlier essay, “To Understand the Houthis, Begin With Yemen”, I argued that describing the Houthis simply as Iranian proxies gets the history backward. The movement did not begin as an Iranian creation. It emerged from the politics, religion and social conflicts of northern Yemen. The (…)
Tsimdo and the Crisis of the Ethiopian Center
Something important has changed in Ethiopia. For years, Abiy Ahmed benefited from the fact that his opponents were divided. Tigrayan forces, Fano, the Oromo Liberation Army and armed movements elsewhere had different objectives and histories and, in some cases, had fought one another bitterly. (…)
Trump’s “Agreements on Reciprocal Trade” (ARTs) Threaten Equitable Access to the Internet in Developing Countries
Around the world, one in every three people has no reliable access to the internet. Unequal access to the internet creates digital divides that can limit civic participation, undermine access to education and healthcare, and deepen inequality. It can also reduce innovation, industrial growth, (…)
Flávio o el mito de un « Bolsonaro moderado »
El candidato presidencial de la derecha brasileña busca heredar el electorado de su padre Jair sin repetir los ataques frontales a las instituciones que llevaron a este a la prisión. Construyó una imagen de Bolsonaro « vacunado », familiar, negociador. Elegido por descarte entre los hijos (…)
Ethiopia : widening gap between the Pretoria Agreement and the political landscape
For a long time, it was still possible to describe the problem mainly as one of implementation. Displaced Tigrayans had not returned home. Territorial questions remained unresolved. Disarmament was contested. Relations between Mekelle and Addis Ababa deteriorated steadily. The TPLF itself lost (…)
Nuevo colonialismo y crisis en las resistencias
Cuando la fuerza armada permite a una potencia gobernar otros territorios y naciones, de forma directa o indirecta, y hacerse con el control de los principales recursos, despojando pueblos enteros de sus riquezas, estamos ante una relación colonial profundamente asimétrica que podemos calificar (…)
International Trade Theory Not Developmental
Most free trade advocates falsely claim that comparative advantage ensures developmental gains from trade liberalisation. Mainstream trade theory does not promise that partial trade liberalisation guarantees optimal international specialisation. Specialisation ? Developing countries are (…)
Reinventing Cooperativism
The Art of Organizing and Reorganizing with Those at the Bottom The market and the State have been presented as the solutions for social inequality, climate change and authoritarianism, but the results are contrary to those good intentions. The first cooperatives emerged in urban England in (…)
Le message des cafards de l’Inde à la gauche
Dans l’après-midi du 25 juillet 2026, Dharmendra Pradhan [ministre de l’Éducation depuis juillet 2021, NDT] a publié sa lettre de démission sur X. Quelques heures plus tard, après un troisième cycle de négociations avec les ministres de l’Union J. P. Nadda et Jitendra Singh, les porte-parole du (…)
Why Chinese Analysts Are Linking Morocco’s Gaza Role to Spain’s Ceuta Crisis
At first glance, Morocco’s participation in the proposed international stabilization force in Gaza and the extraordinary migration crisis in the Spanish enclave of Ceuta appear to be two separate stories. At first glance, Morocco’s participation in the proposed international stabilization (…)
Western-Led Green Revolution Failing Africa
As AGRA turns 20, a new report exposes its worsening failure to double productivity and incomes and halve undernourishment in participating African nations as promised. AGRA still failing Africa’s farmers The Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa, now known simply as AGRA, was (…)
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L’Afrique dans la compétition des puissances : de la rivalité géopolitique à l’autonomie stratégique
Depuis le début des années 2000, l’affirmation de puissances telles que la Chine, l’Inde ou la Russie a contribué à l’émergence d’un ordre international de plus en plus multipolaire, marqué par une remise en cause de la prééminence occidentale. Dans ce contexte de reconfiguration géopolitique, (…)
The Uses and Abuses of the Anti-Colonial in Global Reactionary Politics
International Political Sociology, Volume 20, Issue 2, June 2026, olag012, https://doi.org/10.1093/ips/olag012 Abstract Drawing on a range of regional expertise and perspectives from international relations, political economy, political theory, and sociology, this collective discussion makes (…)
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Between feminism and pan-Africanism
A charter twenty African governments just endorsed defends seed sovereignty and economic independence in one breath, and moves to gut abortion and queer rights in the next. I read the draft African Charter on Family, Sovereignty and Values the way you read a letter from someone you used to (…)
Trade Liberalisation Never Lifted All Boat
President Trump has blamed trade liberalisation advocated by globalists for US deindustrialisation. Instead, his own weaponisation of economic policies, instruments and institutions purport to ‘make America great again’ (MAGA). Trump 1.0 claimed to do so by ‘reshoring’ industries that had (…)
From India to Gaza : Youth Revolts and the Struggle to Break Open the Future
“What if all the cockroaches come together ?” (Abhijeet Dipke) Marx and Engels issued the historic call : “Workers of the world, unite ! You have nothing to lose but your chains !” Today, that summons returns with renewed urgency and takes a new form : Young people of the world unite and (…)
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